SPE Online Education
Importance of Characterizing Uncertainties in Multiphase Flow Predictions
Recorded On: 03/29/2018
Confidence in multiphase flow predictions can influence key decisions on design, location, and operations of pipeline and associated facilities. These decisions in turn can profoundly affect system reliability, operability, safety, and overall project economics. To the extent possible, multiphase predictions and recommendations need to be supported by quantitative assessments of uncertainty and level of confidence. Most of industry’s limited resources for funding research typically result in slight incremental improvements of flow predictions with little focus on quantifying the uncertainties and establishing level confidence in those predictions for field applications. An argument is made for spending more of our limited resources in characterizing uncertainties of existing models.
Research Consultant (Ret.), Chevron
Dr. Kouba is retired from Chevron where he was a Research Consultant for Chevron’s Energy Technology Company. His research interests primarily include issues in multiphase flow transport and separation. He has authored or co-authored over 100 technical papers and 9 patents. He holds a PhD in petroleum engineering from the University of Tulsa. Kouba was the recipient of the 2014 SPE Projects, Facilities, and Construction Award.
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